YOUR NEXT MOVE

HOLD · Wait for data

Wait while we check the live price and the evidence for your selected interval.

How far ahead are you trading?

Choose 5 minutes to 1 hour. The chart, watch zones and trading read follow your selection.

Bitcoin BTC / USD

LIVE EXECUTED BTC PRICE

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WAITING FOR FEED

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Coinbase · BTC-USD

Last exchange trade · awaiting feed

Awaiting first execution

CANDLE CLOSES IN

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15m

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Waiting for current interval—%

Countdown uses this device’s clock.

INDEPENDENT PRICE CHECKWaiting for Kraken BTC-USD

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Actual Bitcoin price

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· exchange history + live trades

Loading exchange price history

Loading real Bitcoin pricesHistory comes from the exchange. Latest prices come from executed trades.

Actual exchange pricesPrices are observed, never generated

Historical exchange prices + live trades; no generated prices.

OPEN

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HIGH

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LOW

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LATEST TRADE IN CANDLE

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Awaiting dataA new connection observes only trades received from that point onward.

ESTIMATEFUTURE DIRECTION · EXCHANGE SPOT

Loading evidence-based forecast

The desk is loading historical exchange data and checking the live feed. A forecast looks ahead from its issue time; it is separate from the actual price above.

Forecast issue and target times appear here.

TRADE READWAIT · No verified forecast yet

Loading the evidence behind the forecast.

MODEL PROBABILITY

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Estimated chance of a future move. This is not the current Bitcoin price.

Checking forecast performance on held-out data.

Forecast is exchange spot direction, not Polymarket settlement; no demonstrated edge means WAIT.

Set your price alerts

Saved on this device

Price alerts only. No buy or stop-loss order is placed.

What happens next?

From the issued completed minute · separate target times

Next 5 minutes ESTIMATE

Loading—Awaiting issue and target times

Next 10 minutes ESTIMATE

Loading—Awaiting issue and target times

Next 15 minutes ESTIMATE

Loading—Awaiting issue and target times

Next 30 minutes ESTIMATE

Loading—Awaiting issue and target times

Next 1 hour ESTIMATE

Loading—Awaiting issue and target times

Live pressure & momentum (observations)What is happening now · these measurements are not forecasts

OBSERVED CONDITIONS 15-minute view

Collecting current conditions

These readings describe received trades and recent price movement. The future-direction forecast appears above.

CURRENT CONDITIONSWaiting for live observations.

Current buying pressure can change before a future interval ends.

Waiting for dataCollecting observations

Price directionWaitingRelative to the candle open

Short-term momentumWaitingRecent observed price movement

Price vs. averageWaitingRelative to the candle’s average execution price

Buying vs. sellingWaitingWho is initiating recent trades

Observed change across candles

Observed move from each candle’s open

Does the forecast have an edge?Held-out directional accuracy, baseline comparison and probability error

Horizon	Samples	Hit rate	Baseline	Brier score	Status
Loading held-out validation. No performance claim until results are available.

Hit rate is the fraction of correct directions. The baseline is a simple comparison forecast; the Brier score measures probability error, where lower is better. A good historical result can still fail on the next trade.

Automatic learning & strategy checksLearning from real trades and depth while this page is open

The live learner uses executed buy/sell pressure, momentum, spread, order-book imbalance and microprice. It freezes each forecast, checks the actual outcome 5–60 minutes later, scores the forecast before learning that result, and updates a regularized logistic model automatically.

Horizon	Real training outcomes	Separate evaluation	Correct direction	Latest online estimate	Status

Training pauses when this page closes. Learning is saved in this browser; interrupted forecasts are not scored as continuous observations.

A challenger replaces the historical forecast only after enough separate, nonoverlapping evaluation calls beat the comparison forecast across multiple time blocks and fresh live checks agree. This tests direction, not executable profit. Research references: DeepLOB, TLOB and crypto microstructure research. These papers inform the approach; their neural networks and reported accuracy are not installed or claimed here.

Market activity & trade historyBuying pressure, order book, raw trades and completed candles

Candle history

Locally constructed · 15-minute intervals

Interval	Open	High	Low	Close	Volume BTC	Delta BTC	Coverage
Completed candles will appear after an interval closes.

Buying & selling

Current 15-minute interval

ORDER FLOW

NET BUYING PRESSURE · USD

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Buy BTC − sell BTC (CVD)

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— BTC

Buy

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Sell

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MARKET BUYS

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—— BTC

MARKET SELLS

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—— BTC

Buy / sell pressure

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Total observed volume

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— BTC

Signed executed turnover. Measures which side initiates trades, not money entering or leaving Bitcoin.

Live order book

Connecting to Coinbase order book

OPEN ORDERS

BEST BID · BUYERS

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BEST ASK · SELLERS

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Bid / ask spread

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Nearby buy orders · BTC

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Nearby sell orders · BTC

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Book imbalance

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Top 20 levels within 0.10% of price; orders can be canceled.

Live executions

Raw trades · newest first

Side	Price	Qty BTC	Time
Waiting for exchange executions.

Inspect live indicator valuesObserved price and flow measurements · not predicted outcomes

AVERAGE EXECUTION PRICE · VWAP

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Trade-size-weighted price in this candle.

ONE-MINUTE MOMENTUM

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Price change over the recent minute.

RECENT BUY SHARE

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Share of recent volume initiated by buyers.

MOMENTUM INDEX · RSI 14

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A 0–100 measure of recent price momentum.

FAST TREND · EMA 9

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A moving average that responds faster.

SLOW TREND · EMA 21

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A slower reference for trend alignment.

POSITION IN CANDLE RANGE

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Where the current price sits inside the observed high/low range.

EMA 9/21 and RSI 14 use completed 5-second bars and locally observed data. Direction rules have not been validated as a profitable strategy; signal agreement is not a win probability.

Forecast call logIssue time, reference price, target and eventual result

Horizon	Issued	Reference price	Target	Up	Down	Action	Outcome
Forecasts will be recorded as they are issued. Outcomes stay pending until their targets.

THE REASON BEHIND THE READ

Why this signal?

Waiting for a live update

Checking real prices, recent trades and forecast evidence before giving a trading read.

The signal can change as new data arrives. A watch zone or green light does not guarantee the next price move.

Feed diagnostics

Source age—

Receive age—

Trades observed0

Reconnects0

Duplicates ignored0

How to read this desk

Actual price vs. forecast

The large live price is the last executed trade reported by the selected exchange. It is not an estimated closing price. The chart uses actual exchange candles and received executions. Forecasts are separately labeled estimates, with issue and target times.

Order flow, clearly defined

Market buys are buyer-initiated trades; market sells are seller-initiated trades. CVD is buy BTC minus sell BTC. Net aggressor flow is buy quote turnover minus sell quote turnover. Every trade has both a buyer and a seller.

Coverage and timing

Startup candles are partial. Disconnects create gaps; those intervals remain marked. The closing alert sounds 10 seconds before the selected interval ends when sound is enabled. The countdown follows your device’s clock. Background tabs, clock error, and network delays can affect updates and alert timing.

Polymarket settlement is separate

Exchange prices are not Polymarket’s Chainlink TWAP. An exchange candle alone cannot establish a market’s settlement result or guarantee a timing advantage. Check the specific market’s rules before acting.